Proper Interpretation of Proportional Odds Model

[pmbrown]

from this thread: Quality of remdesivir trials - #15 by f2harrell

@f2harrell

the interpretation of the trial can be stated these ways simultaneously:

• The estimated probability that a randomly chosen patient given treatment B has a better clinical outcome than a randomly chosen patient on treatment A is 0.7
• The estimated probabilities for treatments A and B of the patient having significant shortness of breath or worse are x.xx and x.xx
• The probabilities of the patient needing hospitalization or worse are x.xx an x.xx
• The probabilities of needing invasive ventilation or dying are x.xx and x.xx
• The probabilities of death are x.xx and x.xx
• The Bayesian posterior probability that treatment B affects mortality differently than it affects shortness of breath, hospitalization, or need for a ventilator is x.xx