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How to estimate the Non inferiority Margin/Equivalence Margin if we do not have Placebo controlled Trial.
There seems to be a distinction between a “non-inferiority” trial (where the control is a treatment presumed to be effective), and an efficacy trial, that is compared to placebo (presumed to be inert).
The following has a nice chart that elaborates on the distinction.
The regions and the frequentist procedure to provide evidence against the default:
- Noninferiority – .One sided test against lower bound of effect size of interest.
- Equivalence – TOST (Two one-sided tests).
- Efficacy – Two Sided conventional test against effect of exactly 0.
I do think the Bayesian intervals or Jeffrey Blume’s interval intersection procedure are interesting alternatives.